newsOctober 24, 2005 8:14 pm

Solon Brochado: On the day of the referendum, O Globo published an interview (portuguese, free reg.) with a political scientist, analyzing what already seemed like a “no” victory. It repeats the “it was a marketing victory” spin, while still mantaining that such public consultations are an important democratic instrument.

But there’s something that really puzzles me in her reasoning. It is true that, even with a “no” victory, poor people won’t be able to exercise their right to buy arms, since licensing and registering a gun is very expensive. I just don’t see how that could be used as an argument in favor of a “yes” vote. If anything, it seems to me it should reinforce the opinion of those that believe in mantaining the Brazilian people’s right to bear arms.

On a last note, it should be noted that the Globo organization, Brazil’s largest and most influential news corporation, was publicly in favor of the ban, and it is almost unanimous that their coverage was very favorable to the “yes” front. Just as Veja, the country’s most prominent weekly political magazine was bordering irresponsibility with its campaign in favor of the “no” vote. Anyways, here’s the article:

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op-eds 2:03 pm

Solon Brochado: At NoMínimo, Marcos Sá Corrêa paints a very grim picture of the country’s future after the referendum. And it has nothing to do with guns or public safety. By far, the best piece of analysis I’ve read so far, and one that makes me uneasy as to the future of our country.

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punditry 9:51 am

Solon Brochado: Cláudio Avolio says journalist Lúcia Hipólito, talking about the referendum on Globo News last night, said the “no” victory didn’t mean the government couldn’t impose a practical ban. “Even with the people saying ‘no’, the government could, instead of prohibiting gun trade, make it prohibitive through legal means like IPI (a tax on industrialized products) , ICMS (a tax on merchandise circulation)”, she said. It sure wouldn’t surprise me.

punditry 2:51 am

Solon Brochado: Dave Kopel, on the Volokh Conspiracy, has a great (in both size and quality) post about the referendum, as does Glenn “InstaPundit” Reynolds. I think the subject might have received more attention from conservative bloggers abroad before, if it weren’t for Plamegate and Harriet Miers’ nomination for the Supreme Court.

The mainstream media is also giving the referendum some attention. While it only shows in the “more stories” part of CNN International’s site (and apparently nowhere in CNN.com), both MSNBC, BBC and Google News are giving it some prominence in international sections.

Brazilian media, so far, have restrained themselves to usual real-time coverage through online news outlets, like Terra and Folha Online. But while we wait for monday’s news, Cisco’s post shows what seems to be the MSM’s official spin on the referendum’s outcome: it wasn’t a reflection of the people’s will, as much as a result of good marketing strategies. I wonder if they would’ve said anything like that had the “yes” vote won.